The Bank of England is in an enviable position. The economic
outlook remains stable and it can afford to pick its moment to strike with
tighter policy when it likes. The time is not ripe for higher rates just yet,
but it may come sooner than the market is expecting. The UK recovery is showing
the best economic comeback in the G7. The inflation outlook remains well
balanced, with the headline rate only just dipping below target. Employment
conditions are improving. And sterling is gaining a firmer foothold given its
recent safe haven appeal. There is a very good chance that the Bank will be
aiming to start the ascent to higher rates by mid-year. UK monetary policy has
been travelling off-road for too long and the Bank wants to get policy back
onto the planned route as soon as it can. The economy is providing all the
right sat nav signals to normalise rates as soon as it deems it is ready to go.
No comments:
Post a Comment