There was a slightly stronger than expected 1.2% rebound in
German new orders in January, but overall demand conditions still fail to
excite any true notion of confidence ahead. Germany’s economy remains well
behind in the recovery stakes. There a massive gulf between German optimism and
economic reality. Considering all the huge stimulus thrown at the Eurozone
economy in the last few years, German new order books are still lagging badly
behind. German exporters are failing to exploit their dominant position in the
global demand for manufactured machinery and capital goods. Despite the fragile
GDP upturn in the last three quarters, Germany is still not showing any signs
of budding economic spring. The ECB still needs to get back down to the policy
drawing board to design more vibrant and sustainable recovery ahead for Germany
and the Eurozone. It is High Noon for ECB policymakers, especially with a dip
into deflation lurking round the corner.
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